Gaz landed a monster win last week (30 units!) and is back with the best bets from The Championship, League One and League Two. Wrexham continue their Hollywood adventure and Gaz has a betting angle in League Two. Meanwhile Hull and Norwich have started well in their bid to return to The Premier League and that has not gone unnoticed either.
Hull City v Bristol City Prediction
Fri 25 Aug 19:30
I don’t usually bet on games outside of the Saturday 3pm window but I have to make an exception this weekend. Hull have started the season well (W2, D0, L1) and could, and probably should, be unbeaten. The Tigers have a young side and there is clearly a hunger in the squad and I am very impressed. On-loan Manchester City starlet Liam Delap netted in matchday one and has led the line well. Add to that the resurgence of Aaron Connelly, who signed a permanent contract earlier this month, and it’s a forward line that could fire Hull to a playoff challenge. Connolly burst onto the scene for Brighton but his career looked to be petering out after failed loan spells with Luton, Middlesbrough and Venezia. He’s had a new lease of life this season though netting three times, including a late brace last weekend to secure all three points.
Bristol City are no mugs and have started well this term (W1, L1, D1). Nigel Pearson’s side play decent football but their Achilles heel is creating chances. The old adage “if you don’t shoot you don’t score” just about sums them up. The Robins have registered only 3 shots on target in their 3 league games to date, including 0 in last Saturday’s 0-2 loss to Birmingham. Their shots on target to goal ratio reads well with 66% of shots on target ending in goals but that can’t last forever. Given Bristol’s creative challenges and the fact I can’t see Hull failing to score, a home win at 13/10 is the bet here.
Huddersfield v Norwich City Prediction
Sat 26 Aug 15:00
Neil Warnock worked wonders to keep Huddersfield in the division last season but on the evidence of the last couple of weeks, he will be praying for another miracle. The Terriers have only managed one point from their opening three matches. Granted it’s very early in the season to be jumping to conclusions, and they have faced some tough opposition. Things don’t get any easier this week, however, as they face a classy Norwich outfit managed by former Huddersfield boss David Wagner.
Norwich have yo-yo’d between the Premier League and Championship over the last decade and this season’s squad looks capable of bringing top-flight football back to Carrow Road. The Canaries are unbeaten thus far (W2, D1, L0) and have shown significant attacking prowess averaging three goals per game. I can’t see Huddersfield being able to live with that and the 11/10 looks like a steal.
Barrow v Wrexham Prediction
Sat 26 Aug 15:00
I mentioned in my EFL season preview and ante-post bets that Wrexham would have a target on their backs this season and that prediction has aged well. The Welsh side were expected to dominate League Two and continue their March through the EFL to the promised land of the Premier League. While that Hollywood script hasn’t quite gone to plan, The Dragons have brought some blockbuster action. In their four league games to date, there have been 26 goals (F13, A13). Conceding over three goals a game means it’s no shock to see goalkeeper Ben Foster hanging up his gloves this week, but in truth, Foster isn’t solely to blame. The Wrexham defence has been guilty of schoolboy defending on numerous occasions which has left the ‘keeper with an unenviable task.
Understandably, Barrow’s matches haven’t quite been as eventful as their counterparts but there have been plenty of goals (9 in total). They’ve conceded in all four outings and have only failed to score in one of those. Given both sides’ habit of conceding the win market looks impossible to predict so goals look the safe option. I had flirted with the idea of over 3.5 but the sensible bet is over 2.5 at even money.
MK Dons v Doncaster Prediction
Sat 26 Aug 15:00
The MK Dons featured in last week’s winning acca, a late flurry landed the spoils with goals in the 88th and 90th minutes. That win moves The Dons up to second and on early evidence, they could bounce back to League One at the first attempt. I gave a shoutout to striker Mo Eisa last week and he didn’t let me down. Eisa is clinical at this level and he now has a goal in all four league games this season. He’s priced at 5/4 anytime to continue that run and that’s very tempting.
Doncaster come into this on a terrible run of form. Despite having played three of their opening four matches at home Rovers have just one point on the board. Their only away fixture was a 0-4 battering by Newport County and they must be dreading this trip to one of the league’s best sides. With that in mind, a home win has to be the bet here. I’ve added over 1.5 goals to boost the odds (from 8/11 to 11/10) which looks good value considering Doncaster concede an average of 2.5 goals per game.
EFL Betting Tips
Hull City v Bristol City – Hull To Win @ 13/10 (1 point)
Huddersfield v Norwich City – Norwich To Win @ 11/10 (1 point)
Barrow v Wrexham – Over 2.5 Goals @ Evens (2 points)
MK Dons v Doncaster – MK Dons To Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 11/10 (2 points)
The above in an acca is 18/1 with Bet365.
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