The cameras may be rolling in North Wales but Gaz doesn’t think all is rosy at the “Hollywood” club which is leaking too many goals. See below for English Football League selections including an almost 27/1 treble
Fleetwood Town v Leyton Orient
Fleetwood have had a disastrous start to the season failing to win any of their opening eight matches. Last weeks’ 1-1 draw away at Burton stops the rot slightly and ended a run of 6 straight league defeats. The Cod Army are yet to keep a clean sheet and average a paltry 0.5 goals per game which is a receipe for disaster in this division.
Leyton Orient are the visitors on Saturday and after a slow start The O’s have started to click. The East Londoners are unbeaten in their last 3 matches (W2, D1, L0), including an impressive victory on the road versus Exeter. Orient can struggle for creativity in the final third but against the aforementioned leaky Fleetwood defense that should be less of an issue. An away win is priced at 9/5 and that looks like decent value considering the contrasting fortunes of these sides.
Exeter v Northampton
Exeter have been going through a sticky patch recently losing two of their last three league matches but overall I think they’ve been unlucky. Last weeks’ 3-0 defeat at the hands of Oxford doesn’t make great reading but also doesn’t tell the full story. The Grecians dominated for large parts of that game but couldn’t breakdown a resilient Oxford side, with two late penalties compounding their misery. Tuesday’s 1-0 win over Premier League Luton in the EFL Cup is just the tonic to get Exeter back on track and I think they’re great value to pick up 3 points this weekend.
Northampton have lost five of their opening eight matches, including three back-to-back most recently. The Cobblers main struggle has been scoring goals, netting just six times and averaging 0.75 goals per game. Jon Brady’s men aren’t great travelers, their only away victory coming versus a struggling Cheltenham side who are rooted to the bottom of the table.
Wrexham v Crewe
I mentioned in my season preview that Wrexham would find it difficult this season and so far that has been proven correct. The Dragons currently sit 7th in the table, so their not doing terribly, but they certainly aren’t blowing teams away as most expected before a ball was kick. A big concern for the Welsh side has to be the amount of goals they are conceding. They’ve already conceded 5 goals in three of their nine league matches this term. Astonishingly games involving Wrexham are averaging 4.44 goals which, although entertaining, makes them a dodgy betting proposition in my opinion. Their priced at 2/5 this weekend and that looks way too short.
Crewe featured in my bet last week, getting the job done with relative ease and I fancy them to cause a bit of an upset here. The Railwaymen are no mugs and currently sit one point and one spot above Wrexham in the table, however their one flaw is their inability to keep clean sheets. Alexandra have conceded in every match thus far and if it weren’t for that stat I’d be recommending taking the 7/1 on offer for an away win. The value bet in this one looks to be the draw at juicy odds of 15/4.
Fleetwood v Leyton Orient – Leyton Orient Win @ 9/5 (1 Point)
Exeter v Northampton – Exter Win @ 11/10 (2 Points)
Wrexham v Crewe – Draw @ 15/4 (1 Point)
Above in a treble @ 26.93/1 (1 Point)