La Liga Predictions: Madrid have the title within their grasp

La Liga Predictions: Madrid have the title within their grasp

Savage gives us his thoughts on the pick of the matches in Spain’s Primera División as El Clásico could heap more misery on Barcelona

Girona v Cádiz

Sat 20 Apr 20:00

Despite taking the lead early against Atlético last time out, Girona ultimately succumbed to a 3-1 defeat. However, the hosts still have 8 points to spare in the race for the European places. Artem Dobvyk has 17 goals so far, including 3 in his last 2, and could potentially claim the Pichichi trophy. The Ukrainian will be hoping to find plenty of opportunities in front of goal against the team in 18th place. The visitors were unfortunate not to grab a point against Barcelona last week. They will be hoping to be equally as frustrating to break down for another Catalan side this weekend. Cádiz have not given up as many goals as you would expect for a side battling relegation. A rate of just 1.3 per game suggests they are not going to rollover and lie down.

Alavés v Atlético Madrid

Sun 21 Apr 17:30

Alavés’ form has taken a downward turn in recent weeks. They started 2024 with a draw and 3 wins, they have had just one win in 9 since then (W1 D3 L5). Given that they have a 7 point buffer between themselves and the relegation places they should feel relatively secure. The visit of Atlético typically would not provide much hope for putting another W on the board. That being said, the away side are coming off the back of being dumped out of the Champions League. The 5-4 aggregate loss will be a bitter pill to swallow having led after the first leg. Added to that is Madrid’s poor form on the road in the league. They have won just 5 times in 15 matches outside the capital (W5 D3 L7). Atleti will have to pick themselves up for this one but they should just about scrape by.

Real Madrid v Barcelona

Sun 21 Apr 20:00

This could have been a mouthwatering contest between two of this year’s Champions League semi-finalists. Instead it will serve as a further reminder to Barcelona fans of Real’s history in that particular competition. Madrid used every ounce of the guile and determination that has led them to those 14 previous triumphs to overturn the City juggernaut. By contrast Xavi’s men capitulated in spectacular fashion against another moneyed franchise. Mbappé, their chief tormentor on the night, could soon be a regular fixture at the Clásico. That should worry the Catalan side even more. Incredibly in the 45 matches Los Blancos have played this season only 1 side (Atlético) has managed to beat them. Neither of those matches were at the Bernabéu. A win for the hosts would put them 11 points clear and would effectively end the title race with 6 games remaining. They hardly needed another excuse to beat Barcelona.

Smart Bets:

Girona v Cádiz – Girona and Under 2.5 Goals @ 13/5

Alavés v Atlético Madrid – Atlético Madrid and Under 3.5 goals @ 6/4

Real Madrid v Barcelona – Real Madrid and Under 3.5 goals @ 2/1

Treble @ 26/1


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Spanish futbol savant and angry Arsenal fan. Solid Savage isn’t one for a flutter and the Grand National is the only time you’ll see him near a bookies shop. But he has plenty of insight into the Primera División and loves to share it. Getting him to stop sharing is usually the problem!
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