La Liga Tips: Race For Survival Heats Up

La Liga Tips: Race For Survival Heats Up

Savage gives us his thoughts on the pick of the matches in Spain’s Primera División as a bottom of the table battle royale takes place this weekend

Valencia v Espanyol

Sat 28 May 18:00

Valencia followed up their tainted home win against Madrid with a routine 1-0 loss to Mallorca in mid-week to leave them still within reach of the bottom three. Were it not for their staggeringly bad away form, Los Che would be home and hosed. However, their recent results at Mestalla suggest they should have enough to get them across the line (W4 D2 L1). Espanyol had their own fan indiscretion in recent weeks when they suggested Barcelona should probably celebrate elsewhere. The teams on-field display against Atlético was significantly more inspiring, coming from 0-3 down to secure a point. That point gives them a glimmer of hope, albeit a small one, for survival. Theirs is the toughest challenge as they sit three points off the rest but they do have a better goal difference than the two teams above them.

Cádiz v Celta Vigo

Sun 28 May 18:00

For a team currently sitting in 17th, Cádiz have a surprisingly decent home record. Just 6 losses in 18 (W6 D6 L6) but too many draws have led to them being in serious danger. Two wins on the bounce against fellow relegation strugglers Valencia and Valladolid has definitely boosted their chances going into the final two rounds. The hosts have scored the joint fewest goals this season (28). They will definitely need to rectify this if they are to stay up.  Celta have been on a torrid run of late that puts them in a precarious position. Just one win in 10 (W1 D3 L6) means they are currently just 2 points from safety. Despite his 35 years, Iago Aspas continues to come up with important goals for the visitors and they could do with getting one more win under their belt.

Almería v Valladolid

Sun 28 Apr 18:00

By virtue of their number of losses both of these sides should be in the bottom three. Only Elche have lost more time this season and that is not saying much. Thankfully for Almería, 13 of their 19  losses have been on the road. In a stroke of startling similarity, their visitors have also recorded 13 losses away from home this term. This bodes well for the hosts who need just one win to secure their Primera status for another year. Despite catching Barcelona cold during the week with their 3-1 victory over the champions elect, the scale of the task facing Valladolid could be one step too far. With just one win in their last 6 on their travels they have a mammoth challenge ahead of them.

Smart Bets:

Valencia v Espanyol – Valencia and Over 2.5 goals @ 9/4

Cádiz v Celta Vigo – Celta Vigo to Win @ 7/4

Alméria v Valladolid – Alméria to Win @ 5/4

The above in a treble is a little over 19/1

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Spanish futbol savant and angry Arsenal fan. Solid Savage isn’t one for a flutter and the Grand National is the only time you’ll see him near a bookies shop. But he has plenty of insight into the Primera División and loves to share it. Getting him to stop sharing is usually the problem!
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