Premier League Tips: Will Fulham Hammer Moyes’s Men In London Stadium

Premier League Tips: Will Fulham Hammer Moyes’s Men In London Stadium

After some tough European fixtures midweek LB is backing upsets in The Premier League this weekend. 

Brentford v Sheffield United

Sat 13 Apr 15:00

This will be a season to forget for both of these clubs, albeit for very different reasons. Brentford struggled to adapt to life without the suspended Ivan Toney and his transfer-flirting response has been odd, to say the least. Meanwhile, The Blades are sitting on sixteen points and on track for one of the worst top-flight seasons in history. Brentford are 4/9 here and that will probably look like value come Saturday evening. However, that’s not my kind of price so I will look at the Shots On Target market instead. Generally when a team is heavily odds on their SOT odds are similarly low. So it is quite surprising to see such good value for  Brentford’s frontmen to hit the target. Toney is 5/6 for 2+ SOT but I will opt for the in-form Bryan Mbeumo.  The Cameroon international has hit some form of late and will likely start up front alongside Toney. This will be the first time both strikers start in tandem and I can see Mbeumo thriving in the space Toney frees up for him. He is also better odds for 2+ SOT at 11/10.

Nottingham Forest v Wolves

Sat 13 Apr 15:00

My second bet of the weekend is another SOT bet in the 3PM kick-offs. Chris Wood has 12 goals this season and is a long-term Wolves tormentor with six career goals against Gary O’Neils’ side. He is a juicy 9/4 for 2+ SOT which looks too big against a Wolves’ side with just two clean sheets in their last 32 away games.

West Ham v Fulham

Sat 14 Apr 14:00

West Ham returned from Leverkusen with their tails between their legs after a painfully one-sided defeat to the Bundesliga champions in waiting. Bayer Leverkusen managed 32 shots to West Ham’s one, hogged possession and generally toyed with the Hammers all night. With less than ten minutes to go, David Moyes’s conservative tactics looked to be paying off, with the scoreline somehow still 0-0. However, two late goals for Xabi Alonso’s in-form side have changed the tie completely and West Ham have a mountain to climb next week. To make matters worse, Hammers’ fans had to watch their former under-utilized striker Scamacca tear Liverpool to shreds for Atalanta.

Fulham will of course pose less of a threat than Leverkusen but I think this is a great opportunity for The Cottagers to win yet another London derby. Despite being 13th in the table, Marco Silva’s side have a decent record against other London teams (W3 D2 L3) and already beat West Ham 5-0 this season. West Ham are typically a very solid team, maybe frustratingly so for some fans, but when they lose they tend to lose badly. Eight of their ten losses this season have seen them concede at least three goals, showing a tendency for things to get out of control when they go behind.

With Europa League distractions, not to mention tired legs, Fulham look overpriced at 9/5. I was tempted to add in Over 2.5 goals to boost the odds but at 3/1 there is not enough extra juice.

Premier League Smart Betting

Brentford v Sheffield United – Bryan Mbeumo 2+ SOT @ 11/10

Nottingham Forest v Wolves – Chris Wood 2+ SOT @ 9/4

West Ham v Fulham – Fulham To Win @ 9/5 

The above in a treble at 25/1

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European Football Punter Extraordinaire. Although claiming to support Arsenal around The Accademics office, he is a football hipster at heart - just don’t tell him that! Happiest cheering on goals and upsets in the unloved Serie B and Belgian First Division A. Not to mention being a closeted college football fan. His biggest claim to fame is winning the New England College Rugby Champions at the lofty heights of varsity Division IV. The less vocal Grangee owner in the group. Loves to tip a midfielder for a shot on target.
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