Serie A Tips: Back Bologna To Bag At Least A Point

Serie A Tips: Back Bologna To Bag At Least A Point

Last weekend was another profitable one for Enzo who returns with three more Serie A predictions for matchday 29.

 

Lecce v Napoli

Fri 7th Apr 18:00

With Victor Osimhen unavailable and a Champions League quarter final on the horizon, expect Luciano Spaletti to make some changes this weekend for Napoli’s trip to Lecce. Giovanni “Cholito” Simone and Giacomo Raspadori will battle it out to take Osimhen’s position upfront with the former slightly favoured to start. Further down the pitch, Ndombele and Elmas are tipped to replace Anguissa and Zielinski in the middle of the park.

From a betting perspective, the ambiguity regarding the lineups is not ideal, however the prices available on the anytime scorer market are worth taking a risk on. Both Simeone and Elmas have had limited playing time this season but when called upon they have performed admirably. Simeone has only played 287 mins of Serie A football but has bagged himself three goals which works out at roughly one a game. At the time of writing he is priced at 7/4 to get his fourth. Elmas has amassed a total of 1028 mins in the league and has scored 6 goals in the process which equates to around one in two. Backing either the North Macedonian or the Argentine has merit but I’m going for the bigger price alternative so Eljif Elmas Anytime goalscorer @ 4/1 is my first Italian football bet of the weekend.

Atalanta v Bologna

Sat 8th Apr 18:00

The title race may effectively be over but the competition for European places is likely to go down to the final day. In spite of not playing particularly well, Atalanta are firmly in the running to finish in the top four. La Dea are in 6th with 50 points, just three behind 3rd placed Milan. Two consecutive wins against Cremonese and Empoli have seen them steady the ship after what was a rough February/March for Gasperini’s side. During that period Atalanta only managed to pick up 4 points from the 18 that were available.

A fine second half of the season has also given Bologna a chance at European football next year. The Rossoblù are just four shy of 7th which would gain them entry into The Conference League and are eight away from the Europa League spots. Their brand of football may not set the world alight but Thiago Motta has transformed the side into one that is very difficult to defeat and since mid January they have only been bested twice (W6 D3 L2).

Double Chance Draw/Bologna @ 13/10 is an excellent price for a solid outfit taking on an inconsistent and often times uninspiring opponent.

Lazio v Juventus

Sat 8th Apr 19:45

If you discount Juve’s -15 points deduction this clash would be one between 2nd and 3rd. Both teams are in a similar run of form with Juventus having (W7 D1 L2) and Lazio’s recent record standing at (W6 D3 L1). Neither side have been scoring many but instead have relied on their defensive capabilities to see them through games. Although Juve have the superior squad, I can’t see Bianconeri coming away with maximum points from the Olimpico. Equally, I don’t think Lazio have the firepower to put more than one past a resolute Juve backline. A low scoring, drab encounter ultimately ending in a Draw @ 2/1 is my final Serie A prediction for the weekend.

Smart Bets

Lecce v Napoli: Eljif Elmas Anytime goalscorer @ 4/1

Atalanta v Bologna: Double Chance Draw/Bologna @ 13/10

Lazio v Juventus: Draw @ 2/1

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The self-proclaimed Italian Stallion. Our boots on the ground so to speak. TheACCAdemic’s Serie A Supremo. His time as a Roma fan has led him to the “hard to support” end of betting and he is no stranger to tipping an unders bet or a draw. Don’t let that put you off. Week in week out Enzo finds value in Italy by avoiding the big names and ploughing his own furrow. To this day he remains the only man in Ireland to own a jersey with Philippe Mexès on the back.
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