LB looks at the NCAAF Week Six fixtures and picks his best bets and upsets across all of College Football.
Last week was my worst ever in terms of CFB betting. Despite getting off to a winning start I ended Saturday down over 6U. Despite the temptation to chase some big wins this time around I will play it safe and try to steady the ship.
Kansas State @ Iowa State
The Wildcats are 2 point favorites here and I can’t wrap my head around it. Iowa State don’t have a win – or performance – of note this season unless you include the woeful 10-7 victory over The Hawkeyes. Apart from that they have beaten #118 Ohio and FCS Southeast Missouri. That’s it. Kansas State on the other hand have dispatched Missouri, Oklahoma and Texas Tech. Their only loss so far was against Tulane in what was evidently a look ahead spot. A comfortable road win is in store.
Akron @ Ohio
The Zips travel to Athens as 11 point underdogs and I fancy an upset. Ohio lost to Kent State in OT last week in a game that was not close at all. The Bobcats allowed 736 yards against the 95th team in the FBS and their defense is a shambles. It is hard to make a case for Akron, and this is more of a bet against Ohio than anything else, but The Zips have been improving week on week. This is something of a rivalry game and I get the feeling Ohio could be a bit punchdrunk after that loss to Kent State.
Texas @ Oklahoma
The Longhorns are laying 7 points in Dallas and I expect them to cover with ease. Anyone who read my preseason predictions will know I have been cool on The Sooners for some time and their recent results feel like vindication. Texas, on the other hand, are two minor moments away from being in the CFP conversation with an “and oh” record. The Oklahoma defense will not be able to stop Texas here and without Dillon Gabriel The Sooners will not be able to stay in the game. The explosiveness on offense for The Longhorns will be too much and this could get ugly early.
Utah @ UCLA
This game will most likely turn into a shootout. I liked the Utes last week and they covered with ease, due in no small part to Oregon State’s four thrown interceptions. UCLA will struggle to stop Utah on the ground and if Utah can get their running game up and running then this could be brutal. The problem is that nobody knows how good the UCLA defense is because their strength of schedule is shocking. I quite like this UCLA program and plenty of pundits are predicting a home win here, but this feels too much like Utah at USC last season to me. Utah tend to do well in Los Angeles and The Bruins have no home field advantage to speak of. Don’t over think it.
Kansas State @ Iowa State: Kansas State -2
Akron @ Ohio: Akron +11
Akron @ Ohio: Akron Moneyline Win @ +325 (13/4)
Texas @ Oklahoma: Texas -7 (2U)
Texas @ Oklahoma: 1st Quarter Texas -3
Utah @ UCLA: Utah -3.5
Utah @ UCLA: Utah -3.5 & Over 64.5 Total Points @ +265